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Scott Plutchak Lister Hill Library of the Health Sciences University of Alabama at Birmingham"cZQMy background & biasesLibrarian for 20 years, director for 13 Editor of the Journal of the Medical Library Association Member of AAHSL Scholarly Publishing TaskForce Support the principles of open access Married to an EBSCO VP$6+l > #University of Alabama at Birmingham$$ Young institution (25 years) 12 schools  6 health sciences Heavy research emphasis  16th in US in NIH funding$pX*Lister Hill Library of the Health Sciences++ 1,479 unique print serials 750 unique electronic serials 1,561 total electronic serials 56 fte staff $4,780,000 total annual expenditures[,  LHL Budget3What will be the impact on academic library budgets<In the near term Not much In the long term Impossible to sayL  .Scenario 1  Low impactcNew open access journals are successful Traditional subscription journals continue to be successful4Scenario 2  Medium impactIOpen access journals are successful Some subscription based journals fade0Scenario 3  High impactOpen access journals are successful Subscription based journals move to an open access model Open access supplants subscription based as the dominant modelLow impact modelmDoes not affect current budget pressures Additional costs for selection & cataloging of nonpurchased journalsX  Medium impact modelZSome potential reduction of pressure on the library budget Shifting of institutional costsHigh impact modelSignificant impact institutionally  shifts funding burden to research intensive institutions Drives a radical shift in the role of the library in relation to managing the institution s resourcesInstitutional impacts differSmall hospital reduces institutional costs Do the savings go to the library? Is the library perceived as redundant? Reseach intensive institution increases institutional costs Library budgets Research grants Other institutional resources b+I<>+I<>ttUAB articles in MEDLINEo1300 x $525 = $682,500 1300 x $1500 = $1,950,000 1300 x $3500 = $4,550,000 LHL subscription budget = $1,500,000Potential winnersPNon-research oriented colleges Commercial R&D units Other specialized libraries  Library roleshEducation  ultimately the faculty make the difference Targeted funding where it will do the most good Continuing to focus on selection, facilitation, and organizational structures +What do libraries need from their partners?,, Tools that help them analyze collections and services Assistance in managing the maze of licenses and agreements Agent support for all of the things we will continue to need access to that will NOT become open accessThe long term impact?Libraries relationships to their institutions, and their role as manager and steward of institutional resources will dramatically shift Libraries will continue to rely heavily on third-party partners in helping them provide effective and efficient services to their users.! ~ ` 3fffff3̙3f̙` ̙3f` ff3f` f33f3f` 3ffƍ` fff3` f33̙` 3f|>?" dZ@$?lKd@   l@  P`lA n?" dd@   @@``PT   @ ` `p>> H @  X (  X.T  X "\\  X "h X s *" X  $0e0e BCDELF>5%8c8c     ?1d0u0@Ty2 NP'p<'p@A)BCD|E?|b4"%>Ul @   `c"$  f\  X "n" X 0G"r XB T??"  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